|Neue Kälteperiode||New Cold Period||Nouvelle periode froide|
|Erwärmung: Entwarnung||Warming: All-Clear||Réchauffement: Fin de l'alerte|
|Kälte: Warnungen||Cooling: Alerts||Refroidissement: Avertissements|
PDO = Pacific Decadal Oscillation
AGU = American Geophysical Union
UPDATE! Professor Easterbrook adds in comments:
"The projected warming from ~2040 to ~2070 is NOT driven by CO2, it's merely a continuation of warm/cool cycles over the past 500 years, long before man-made CO2 could have been a factor.
We've been warming up from the Little Ice Age at rate of about 1 degree or so per century and the 2040-70 projection is simply a continuation of non-AGW cycles.
An interesting question is the similarity between what we are seeing now with sun spots and global temperature and the drop into the Little Ice Age from the Medieval Warm Period.
Could we be about to repeat that? - Only time will tell
We might see a more pronounced cool period like the 1880 to 1910 cool cycle (when many temp records were set) or a milder cooling like the 1945-1977 cool cycle.
In any case, the setting up of the cool phase of the PDO seems to suggest cooler times ahead, not the catastrophic warming predicted by IPCC and Al Gore."
en SSRC - Space & Science Research, Orlando, Florida:
According to Center Director John Casey, "The climate change predictions which I started to pass out to our government and media in early 2007 based upon the 'RC Theory' have now come to pass, exactly as forecast.
Global warming has ended, conclusively, as predicted.
The Earth's average temperature has begun its steep decline within the time frame I said it would. And last but not least, the Sun has entered a state of 'hibernation' when I said it would.
This new solar period is one of the most amazing events in the history of science.
During solar hibernations, the Sun makes significant reductions in output which always, always, brings long cold climates to the Earth.
Unbelievably, this historic phenomena is still largely and intentionally unreported by the media and our leaders and therefore unknown by the American people. The new cold climate will usher in global travail that will be amplified specifically because of the catastrophic climate change policies of the administration of President Barack Obama that will leave most citizens unprepared."
My most recent calculations, just completed, indicate that global temperatures approaching 100 year cold weather records will begin to set in any year now but certainly between 2012 and 2017.
The lower troposphere temperature anomaly range during this time frame will be between -0.2C and -0.75C.
Further, between 2020 and 2025, if not before, we will begin to see 200 year cold temperature records routinely being broken with a temperature anomaly range between -0.75C and -1.20C.
The coldest and most destructive years will be during the decade of the 2030's with temperature ranges between -1.0C and -1.5C.
These global temperature changes are keyed to the mean global temperature for the past one hundred years and while they may not seem like much, they translate to potentially massive agricultural losses world wide especially in the decades of the 2020's and 2030s.
... This implies some of the worst cold could arrive well before the predicted coldest years (i.e., the 2020's and later).
... These early cold shocks will cause significant crop damage and then rebound to relative warmth within a year or two before diving once again even deeper into the cold era.
We will of course continue to see hot, possibly record setting summer temperatures over the years.
The noticeable change will be in winters that start sooner, are much colder and last longer, with the power to cause post-planting spring crop damage and early fall pre-harvest crop losses.
Release of this detailed sequence of climate activity still includes the previous assertion that the pronounced cold of the next climate change will have devastating consequences for our primary wheat, corn, and other grain crops in Canada, and the United States.
The last solar hibernation the Earth experienced was the so-called Dalton Minimum. Canada and the United States were at that time (1793-1830) still largely unsurveyed, undeveloped, and uncultivated and the great wheat and corn growing states and horizon-to-horizon agricultural regions we take for granted today that feed the world, simply did not exist. However, even crops back then were wiped out in New England, many people died, and thousands moved out to get away from the bitter cold that settled in along the Great Lakes and in the northeastern states. Pennsylvania, for example had ice on lakes and rivers in July. Historian John D. Post said of this period that it was " ... the last great subsistence crisis." Of course, this new forecast does not include any major volcanic activity as happened during the Dalton Minimum which would accentuate the solar hibernation cold weather effects already in place."
Unfortunately, while the cold climate advances quickly and the Sun cuts back on output, the Obama administration continues its political campaign to stop global warming, a climate period that has already ended.
Our government has willfully not told the American people about the now unstoppable solar hibernation which continues to deepen with each passing month.
This is without a doubt one of the darkest periods in US history for freedom of speech and integrity in the scientific community.
In addition, this administration is planning to add $646 billion in new taxes to combat CO2 and other industrial greenhouse gas effects that have at most only a minor role in climate change.
All the while, the US government is not devoting one penny in preparing our country for the rapidly approaching cold weather and attendant crop failures.
There is now little doubt that this new cold climate era, in conjunction with the disastrous climate change policies of President Obama, has set the stage for what has the potential to be the worst subsistence crisis in recorded human history."
As to why the general public should take such unusual and dramatic forecasts seriously, Casey responded, "First of all, the SSRC and I have been sending out this vital message of a coming cold climate era consistently for over two years. In addition, a former Chairman of the House of Representatives Science Committee says I should be taken seriously as have other top scientists around the world who have come to the same conclusion about the next cold climate period. World leaders are growing more skeptical of what they have been force fed about climate change. The President of the European Union Vaclav Klaus has said the CO2 induced man made climate concept is a "bad ... valueless theory." Also, the Space and Science Research Center is now the most quoted reference on the web regarding climate change to the next cold era. But even if we did not have this support, what I and the SSRC have already accomplished should say something about the credibility of the SSRC. We have been the only independent science research organization in America to correctly and publicly predict in advance, three of the most important climate change events in history; the end of global warming, the Sun going into 'hibernation' and the long term decline in the Earth's temperatures. This contrasts with our government's science agencies and the United Nations all of whom have completely missed or otherwise keep quiet about these events.
The bottom line is this: I believe these new predictions will be just as accurate as our previous announcements and given their nature, I urge everyone to give them genuine and immediate consideration. The SSRC and I, along with other scientists world wide have been doing our best using every venue to spread the word about getting prepared for the next climate change. What is different about this press release is that the schedule for the rough times ahead is now clearer, the first crop damaging cold will arrive earlier than thought, and thanks to the UN and the Obama administration, it will catch most people on this planet totally off guard. Therefore, the people deserve repeated updates and when possible, long range climate warnings such as this."
Als das IFM-Geomar mit einer Pressemitteilung vom 2. Mai 2008 zugeben musste, dass "die globale Erwärmung eine kurze Atempause" einlege, war das ein erstes Eingeständnis der unsinnigen Behauptung, "menschengemachtes" Kohlendioxid (CO2) würde die Erde in ein Treibhaus, in eine lebensfeindliche Gluthölle verwandeln.
Angeblich hätten die Computer errechnet, dass eine Erwärmung der Erde in den nächsten zehn Jahren nicht stattfindet. Dahinter steht die Drohung: Wenn ihr Menschen uns nicht gehorcht und die Verbrennung fossiler Energieträger nicht einstellt, wird die Erdtemperatur nach zehn Jahren erneut in die Höhe schießen. Die alte Zigeunerin oder der geübte Kaffeesatzleser können mit Sicherheit bessere Prognosen erstellen als das IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) und seine Sprachrohre, die der echten Wissenschaft schon längst den Rücken gekehrt haben.
Die Erde hat in den vergangenen Jahrzehnten eine erfreuliche Warmzeit erlebt, wie sie sich in der Geschichte unzählige Male wiederholte. Leider scheinen wir nun den Zenit überschritten zu haben, denn seit zehn Jahren wurde es nicht mehr wärmer. Der wachsende Eisschild über der Antarktis und die Abkühlung des antarktischen Meerwassers weisen unmissverständlich darauf hin, dass es mit der Temperatur auf der Erde abwärts geht. Die milden Winter in Europa der vergangenen Jahre waren ein Glücksfall und nicht etwa ein Zeichen dafür, dass die Erde verglüht.
Angesichts sinkender Temperaturen fordern die Väter des "Manifest von Heiligenroth" die Politiker auf, die ideologische Zwangsjacke um die Energieversorgung zu beseitigen und zur Realität zurück zu kehren. Sonst droht Deutschland eine katastrophale Energiekrise. Ohne auch nur den Anschein von Verantwortungsbewusstsein haben die Politiker genau das Gegenteil dessen getan, was getan werden muß, nämlich die Menschen auf eine Kaltzeit vorzubereiten.
Die "erneuerbaren" allein ideologisch motivierten, hochsubventionierten Energien sind nicht in der Lage, einen nennenswerten Anteil der Energieversorgung zu übernehmen. Wird es kälter, können nur Kernenergie und Kohle dafür sorgen, dass die Lichter in Deutschland nicht ausgehen.
The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged.
This would mean that the 0.3°C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature.
These scientists would have had more credibility if they forecasted the actually cooling temperatures a few years ago, instead of saying a year ago, as many did, this year would be the hottest on record. It looks like the temperature data disconfirmed their hypothesis of CO2 induced warming and rather than question their theory they invented a way to try to convince people their theory still holds even though the data no longer support it.
More on target are the scientists who subscribe to the theory that solar activity strongly affects climate change - they have been predicting an end to the warming phase and the onset of a cooling climate for some time now.
(10.3.1927 - 19.5.2004)|
Dr, Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity, Nova Scotia, Canada
Dr. Theodor Landscheidt (1927-2004)
166-Jahreszyklus der Sonnenfleckenaktivität
en 166 Year Cycle
fr Cycles 166 ans
Dieser Zyklus ist die 2. harmonische Schwingung eines 166-jährigen Zyklus und moduliert den 11-jährigen Sonnenzyklus.
Ein Vergleich mit den tatsächlich stattgefundenen Ereignissen ist augenfällig. 1120 fand ein aussergewöhnliches Maximum statt (Maximum der Mittelalterlichem Warmzeit), ca. 1670 ein Minimum (Kleine Eiszeit). Auch die 1947, 1976, 1983 aufgetretenen Temperaurmaxima decken sich mit diesen Zyklen bzw. der solaren Aktivität.
During the Maunder minimum solar activity was minimal and during the Medieval Climate Optimum very high, probably even higher than in the six decades of intense solar activity before 1996.
Accordingly, Friis-Christensen and Lassen (1995) have shown that the connection between the Northern Hemisphere land air temperature and varying LSC extends back to the 16th century.
Irregular oscillation of the sun;
Fig. 8: Irregular oscillation of the sun about the centre of mass of the solar system in a heliocentric perspective. The sun's limb is marked by a thick circle. The position of the centre of mass relative to the sun's centre (cross) in respective years is indicated by small circles. The strong variations in the physical quantities measuring the sun's orbital motion form cycles of different length, but similar function in solar-terrestrial relations.
de Aus der Panik-Küche en From the panic laboratory fr De la marmite des alarmistes
Inaccuracies in Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth